Yeah, I grew up in the 90s too

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3qVPNONdF58

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Some of these transports are probably cases where bikes are taken in for maintenance and deposited at different stations. Naively, I’d guess that “maintenance transports” are less common than “demand rebalancing transports”, but I don’t really know

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I couldn’t find a clip online, but in keeping with my tendency to quote action movies from roughly the 1982–1997 era, I recall this scene from Point Break, where John C. McGinley chastises young “blue flame special” Keanu Reeves:

You know nothing. In fact, you know less than nothing. If you knew that you knew nothing, then that would be something, but you don’t.

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A more recent paper by Philippe Golle puts the number at 63%, but either way it’s still a big number!

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The linear model is definitely not a great fit here, as the relationships aren’t particularly linear. Age is kind of linear above the age of 22, as older riders get consistently slower, but below 22 we see younger riders are slower

Distance traveled really doesn’t follow a linear relationship, especially for longer distances over ~3 miles. It would be very bad and inaccurate to extrapolate this model to long trips!

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The daily/weekly customers are much slower, I think probably because more of them are tourists who are pedaling around leisurely, not really trying to get from point A to point B quickly. Anyway, subscribers account for ~97% of this dataset anyway, so it doesn’t change much to restrict to subscribers

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This is a recurring assumption throughout the post, so we might as well get it out of the way that, yeah, it’s definitely not a true assumption! But it’s convenient, and in most cases it’s probably not too far off

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Many of the aggregated graphs and maps in this post are based on data since September 2015, to adjust for the program’s expansion

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Why September 16, 2015? It’s the 3rd biggest day in program history. Sep 24/25 2015 were slightly bigger, but those were also the days when Pope Francis was in town, so I figured they might be less indicative of a typical day if there were all sorts of road closures and traffic changes

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